Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
I was out of pocket most of Sunday with on call work and taking advantage of the warm spell trying to get outdoor work done and, in the mean time, it looks like Russia and Ukraine have started trading fire in the Kerch Strait part of the Black Sea/Sea of Azov.
Getting caught up, I had seen word that 3 Ukrainian ships had been boarded and seized by Russia.
November 26th, 2018, 08:06
Ryan Ruck
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
Ukraine’s president has been in constant contact with NATO and European leaders concerning recent developments in the Kerch Strait. https://t.co/9Yr9UD5rVX
Ukrainian Air Force now alerted to full combat readiness. All tactical/attack assets are required to be airborne within 15-30 minutes, once called upon.
Su-25s from Mykolaiv, MiG-29s from Ivano, Su-27s from Myrhorod, should also be placing alert five and ten alert responders on standby ready to spin up for scramble https://t.co/2N7iDqmT9K
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
Over two dozen Ukrainian Sailors are now in Russian custody tonight according the representative of the president in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Boris Babin. #Ukraine
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
President at NSDC: I have to support the decision to impose "state of war", urging MPs of Rada to gather tomorrow vote for the decision pic.twitter.com/IdtGy5awBk
It is unlikely that NATO or US forces will participate in any further escalations between Russia and Ukraine. In our analysis, this conflict will likely escalate in the coming hours. 4/5
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
As tensions between Russia and Ukraine rise, @Telegraph were first to report that Britain is sending more troops and a Royal navy ship to the Black Sea. Read Gavin Williamson's announcement here:https://t.co/MRl2dUdXYZ
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
US officials:military flying reconnaissance flights over #BlackSea near Crimea to gather intelligence on escalating tensions btw #Ukraine and #Russia. Both Navy and Air Force can use airborne reconnaissance to gather imagery and eavesdrop on communications. #KerchStrait#Crimea
🇺🇦 Gen Staff chief @VikMuzhenko in @ua_parliament: we have additional information about 🇷🇺Naval Su-30 taking part in 11/25 assault on 🇺🇦 gunboats, 2 rockets fired, no info on impact (likely missed - admin)
— Numbers Stations (@Spy_Stations) November 26, 2018
@EndGameWW3
2h2 hours ago
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UNSC meeting now adjourned, no progress made towards resolving the crisis. Russia's ambassador to the UN gave rambling speech after refusing to give remarks in protest due to failure of his proposed agenda.EndGameWW3
@EndGameWW3
2h2 hours ago
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Nikki Haley's comments at emergency UNSC meeting on Ukraine: She calls Russia's attack on Ukrainian vessels, "outrageous violation of sovereign Ukrainian territory" and "another reckless Russian escalation.EndGameWW3
@EndGameWW3
2h2 hours ago
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BREAKING: UNSC blocks discussions regarding Kerch Strait incidentEndGameWW3
@EndGameWW3
2h2 hours ago
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Russia vetoed any discussion
Strategic Sentinel
Verified account @StratSentinel
5m5 minutes ago
#Ukrainian Parliament passes Martial Law proposal for the next 30 days. Reservists to be called up, defensive forces mobilized.
"There is a threat of an invasion of Mariupol and Berdyansk," - Volodymyr Yelchenko, Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the UN.
Steve Herman
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#Ukraine demands immediate release by #Russia of 23 captured Ukrainians military personnel and three ships.Strategic Sentinel
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#Ukrainian Parliament passes Martial Law proposal for the next 30 days. Reservists to be called up, defensive forces mobilized.
November 26th, 2018, 21:29
vector7
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
ELINT News
ELINT News
@ELINTNews
#UPDATE: FSB videos of ‘interrogation’ and ‘confession’ of Ukrainian prisoners begin to be aired on Russian TV stations
3:28 PM · Nov 26, 2018 ·
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The Russian FSB has published a ‘confession’ video of Ukrainian sailors captured last night
#Russia #Ukraine
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Cheers bro
Blackranger45
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War
Just Some Guy
Just Some Guy
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This is bad. The timeline of events does not support the Russian narrative, nor do current troop movements or photographs of the event. Russia has wanted war for a long time. Japan and Germany reformed post wwii, but Russia never did.
Travis Garrity
Travis Garrity
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What does this mean now
Remain Awake
Remain Awake
@woke_watchman
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14m
it means Ukraine continues to be embarrassed and there is nothing they can do about it, unfortunately.
November 27th, 2018, 01:01
vector7
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
ELINT News Retweeted
CivMilAir ✈
CivMilAir
@CivMilAir
Royal Navy ship buzzed by 17 'hostile' Russian jets off the coast of Crimea - Sky News
One pilots sent a 'good luck' a message to the ship.
Royal Navy ship buzzed by 17 'hostile' Russian jets off the coast of Crimea
news.sky.com
7:05 PM · Nov 26, 2018 https://t.co/Qk4rbng1K6?amp=1
November 27th, 2018, 01:10
vector7
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
Russia would use nuclear arms if under missile attack, Vladimir Putin says
Vladimir Putin tells an international policy forum in Sochi that "retaliation is inevitable" if Russia is targeted with missiles.
20:19, UK, Thursday 18 October 2018
Putin says Russia would retaliate but not initiate
Russia would use its nuclear weapons in response to an incoming missile attack, Vladimir Putin has said.
The Russian president said the country would only launch a nuclear strike if its early warning systems spot missiles heading toward its territory.
"The aggressor should know that retaliation is inevitable," he told an international policy forum in Sochi.
The remarkable footage shows HMS Duncan being ‘buzzed’ by the Russian jets as it led a NATO fleet through the disputed region earlier this year. The government labelled the incident, which happened in May, an act of “brazen hostility”. In the footage, which was filmed as part of a Channel 5 documentary, Russian jets can be seen circling around HMS Duncan and the NATO fleet.
The jets, which are a mix of fighters and bombers, are shown coming so close to HMS Duncan the crew is worried their high-powered radars might scramble the jets’ computer systems causing them to crash.
Naval officers on the £1billion Type 45 Destroyer then issued a warning to the Russian pilots amid fears the planes might attack.
One communications technician told the Russians: “We are operating high powered radars. Request you remain outside of two miles for your safety.”
One Russian pilot gives a threatening replied “Good luck guys” before the jets return to their airbase.
The documentary, called Warship: Life at Sea and broadcast tonight, also shows one of Duncan's 280 naval crew saying she thought the incident was Moscow trying to send a warning to NATO.
Commander Eleanor Stack, Duncan's captain, said: “To me if felt unprecedented. There were more aircraft than we have seen in a long time.”
However another sailor believed Russia, despite the dangerous pass, would never have carried out an attack.
The sailor said: “They had 17 aircraft, we have 48 missiles - I think we're going to win that one.”
Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson said: “Over the past year, HMS Duncan and her crew have embodied the key role the UK plays in Nato.
“As Nato flagship, she has faced down brazen Russian hostility in the Black Sea with jets buzzing overhead.
“She has been stalked by Russian spy ships and played a vital role protecting Nato allies during the British, American and French strikes against Syrian chemical weapons facilities.
“Through her deployment, this world-leading ship and her crew epitomised the nation we are going to be as we exit the EU.
“A truly global Britain which is outward-looking and engaged on the world stage.”
Commodore Mike Utley, who was in charge of the NATO task force from HMS Duncan’s bridge, said: “This ship is probably the only maritime asset that has seen a raid of that magnitude in the last 25 years.
“I think their tactics are naive. What they don't know is how capable the ship is.
“When you see that much activity, I think it reinforces the nature of what people expect at the moment and why there is a challenge from Russia.”
HMS Duncan, which launched in 2010 and is named after 18th century Royal Navy admiral Viscount Adam Duncan, is currently based in Portsmouth after carrying out the NATO naval operations in the disputed Crimean waters.
November 27th, 2018, 23:01
vector7
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
UPDATE Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko warned of the threat of "full-scale war" and said Russia had sharply increased its military presence on their shared border as tensions escalate between the ex-Soviet neighbors-AP
A large column of Russian military hardware, including anti-ship missile systems, has been spotted moving towards the Crimean city of Kerch, after Russian border guards faced off with Ukrainian ships violating Russia’s border.
A video exclusively obtained by RT’s video agency Ruptly shows a whole column of military trucks, as well as several ‘Bal’ coastal defense systems, moving along a road in Crimea. The troops were being relocated to an area near the city of Kerch, following the tense standoff on Sunday with a group of Ukrainian ships that, despite repeated warnings, had breached Russia’s territorial waters in the Kerch Strait.
The ‘Bal’ systems are equipped with eight X-35 cruise anti-ship missiles, capable of hitting vessels with displacement tonnages up to 5,000 tons at a distance of up to 20 kilometers.
The video emerged hours after the head of the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) admitted that intelligence agents had been on the ships which entered Russian waters. Russia’s FSB had earlier accused the SBU or coordinating the “provocation,” and also released a confession of one of the two SBU officers detained and interrogated after the chase was over.
Moscow said the Ukrainian vessels had failed to apply to pass through the narrow strait as required, and were undertaking dangerous maneuvers while ignoring the orders of the Russian border guards. Following an intense hours-long game of cat-and-mouse and the blocked Ukrainians’ attempt to break through, the guards saw no option but to open fire and seize the vessels. Several Ukrainians who received shrapnel wounds were immediately treated and hospitalized.
Kiev immediately accused Russia of “aggression” and, on Monday, imposed martial law on its territories bordering Russia as well as along the coast of the Black and the Azov Seas. Moscow, in turn, has accused Kiev of staging a planned provocation aimed at stirring up the conflict between the two neighbors and justifying the imposition of martial law ahead of the presidential vote in March, in which President Petro Poroshenko is trailing behind several candidates in polls.
November 27th, 2018, 23:31
vector7
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
Putin Warns Ukraine Against Committing any 'Reckless Acts'
Russian President Vladimir Putin is warning Ukraine against committing any “reckless acts” as Ukraine imposed martial law after Russian forces seized three Ukrainian ships and their crews in the Black Sea.
In a phone conversation with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Putin said he was “seriously concerned” about the developments and asked Germany to approach Ukrainian authorities “to dissuade them from further reckless acts,” the Kremlin said.
The Kremlin had previously warned the imposition of martial law could lead to a flare up in hostilities in eastern Ukraine.
President Petro Poroshenko said martial law will help "strengthen Ukraine's defense capabilities amid increasing aggression and according to international law a cold act of aggression by the Russian Federation."
Ukraine's parliament voted Monday to approve martial law in 10 of the country's 27 regions beginning Wednesday.
The measure calls for 30 days of martial law, an apparent concession to opponents, which would allow for elections to be called as scheduled in December.
Russia fired on two Ukrainian naval ships and rammed a third vessel Sunday in the Black Sea, seizing the ships and accusing them of illegally entering its territorial waters.
U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres urged Ukraine and Russia Tuesday to exercise “maximum restraint” to avoid further escalation in the region.
U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley condemned Russia for its "outrageous violation of sovereign Ukrainian territory."
"This is no way for a law-abiding civilized nation to act," Haley said at a Monday emergency meeting of the U.N. Security Council.
"Impeding Ukraine's lawful transit through the Kerch Strait is a violation under international law. It is an arrogant act that the international community must condemn and will never accept."
At the U.N. Security Council, most members condemned the escalation, urged restraint and called for the unconditional and immediate release of the Ukrainian sailors and the return of their ships.
Poroshenko is demanding Russia immediately release the Ukrainian sailors and ships.
NATO head Jens Stoltenberg also called on Russia to release the Ukrainian navy ships, saying "there is no justification" for Moscow's actions, while European Union chief Donald Tusk condemned Russia's use of force and reiterated the EU would stand in support of Ukraine.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov accused Ukraine of violating international norms with "dangerous methods that created threats and risks for the normal movement of ships in the area."
Russia's deputy envoy Dmitry Polyanskiy blamed Kyiv and its western supporters for the escalation.
"This provocation was pre-planned, that's obvious, and it was with the full connivance of Western states that de facto have just given carte blanche to any actions taken by their subordinates," he said.
Ukraine's U.N. ambassador, Volodymyr Yelchenko, said his government would like to see a tightening of economic sanctions on Moscow.
"The sanctions is the only real tool that can make Russia at least start thinking of their behavior," Yelchenko said after the meeting. "Sanctions, they do bite."
Ukrainian officials say at least six sailors were wounded in the incident and denies any wrongdoing.
"We think our sailors committed no crime whatsoever," Ambassador Yelchenko said, noting that Crimea is not recognized as Russian territory by anyone except Russia. "What are they claiming, that Ukrainian sailors committed a crime by crossing the Russian border?
Where is this border? It does not exist."
Russia's deputy U.N. envoy appeared to signal the Ukrainian sailors would not be released quickly and could face a trial.
"The three sailors, they were acting in provocation and they were conducting a crime according to the laws of the Russian Federation," Dmitry Polyanskiy told reporters. "Each and every sovereign country has [a] right to prosecute people who conduct crimes and unlawful acts on their territory, that's our approach.
Sunday's incident began when a Ukrainian tugboat set out to escort two navy ships from Odessa, on the Black Sea, through the Kerch Strait to the Ukrainian port of Mariupol, in the Sea of Azov.
The Kerch Strait is the only passage between the two seas.
Ukraine said Russia used a tanker to block access to the Kerch Strait, which under a treaty is shared territory.
The Trump administration has previously warned Russia against trying to strangle the Ukrainian economy by harassing international shipping through the Kerch Strait.
Russia forcibly annexed Ukraine's Crimea Peninsula in 2014, claiming its ethnic Russian majority was under threat from the Ukrainian government.
Fighting between pro-Russian forces in eastern Ukraine and Ukrainian troops has eased in recent months, but there are still occasional deadly flare-ups.
Russia has consistently denied sending weapons and fighters to help the separatists, despite strong evidence to the contrary.
LONDON — Russia’s attack on Ukrainian military vessels in the Black Sea marks the first time the Kremlin has staged open aggression against Ukraine since President Vladimir Putin annexed Crimea four years ago, and launched a destabilization campaign in the Donbas region.
In the past, the Kremlin has used so-called “little green men” — Russian soldiers without an insignia — to stage provocations or battle Ukrainian forces, denying they are directed by Moscow.
Sunday marked a new departure, however, with the hybrid war being stepped up, a development that risks igniting a broader conflict and spiraling out of control.
Putin power play
So why did the Russian leader decide now to stage such overt aggression — especially at a time when the Russian economy is struggling and could well do without any escalation of sanctions by Western nations? Putin's move comes just days before he's due to meet with U.S. President Donald Trump during the G20 summit in Argentina to discuss Syria and the recent U.S. decision to withdraw from a nuclear weapons treaty.
Some Western officials and analysts point to President Putin's slumping popularity at home, the consequence of unpopular pension reforms, to explain the attack in the Kerch Strait, which links the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, and is officially a waterway shared by Russia and Ukraine. They say it is calculated to boost Putin's approval ratings that are now at a five-year low.
On Twitter, Alexei Navalny, the prominent Putin critic, said the decision to ram, fire on and seize two gunboats and a tugboat is straight out of the Russian leader's traditional playbook in which he uses foreign adventures to divert domestic attention and encourage a siege mentality, whereby Russians feel Western nations are ganging up on them.
“We can expect 30 talk shows a day over the next month with discussions of aggressive warmongers from Kyiv,” he tweeted.
Captured sailors on display
Russia has moved fast to deepen the crisis, say analysts. A court in Crimea, the Ukrainian peninsula annexed by Russia in 2014, has ordered one of the 24 Ukrainian sailors detained by Russia to be held for two months and Russian media are reporting the man faces a charge of illegally crossing Russian borders, which carries a sentence of up to six years in prison. The other sailors are likely to face similar court action.
And the Kremlin moved quickly to blast the Ukrainians for what it paints as aggression against Russia, with state television Tuesday broadcasting interrogations of three of the captured sailors.
"I recognize that the actions of the ships with military hardware of Ukraine's navy had a provocative character," one of the sailors, identified as Vladimir Lisov, said in one of the interrogations, which Kyiv claims are being conducted under duress. "I was carrying out an order," Lisov added.
Dark intent?
The presence of Ukrainian counterintelligence officers on board the vessels also is being highlighted by the Kremlin and on state media as evidence of Kyiv's dark intent. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov labeled the whole incident “a dangerous provocation” by the government of Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko. Russian officials accuse Poroshenko of trying to manufacture a crisis to boost his desperately low poll ratings ahead of next year's presidential elections, which he appears to be in danger of losing.
The exchange of accusations is par for the course in the long-running conflict between Moscow and Kyiv since the Euro-Maidan uprising led to the 2014 ouster of Ukraine's pro-Kremlin president, Viktor Yanukovych.
Certainly Poroshenko has seized on Sunday's clash, pressing for the imposition of martial law in 10 of the country's 27 regions, a decisive move that some say may boost his poll standings. Jan Surotchak, senior director for Transatlantic Strategy at the International Republican Institute, a Washington-based democracy-promotion non-profit, acknowledges that Poroshenko could profit from the clash in domestic political terms, “if he is able to focus his allies in the West to be more supportive.”
But he says, “In the end, of course, that is not what this is about.” Surotchak sees Sunday's incident as not just being about Putin's short-term domestic political needs or Poroshenko's seizing on it to try to improve his own election prospects. “Most importantly what Moscow was trying to achieve is what it has tried to do now for the better part of the last five years, and that is destabilize Ukraine.”
Western and Ukraine officials say there has been a pattern of heightened Russian activity in the Donbas region, as well as the Sea of Azov for the past few weeks. Speaking three days before the maritime clash, Stepan Poltorak, Ukraine's defense minister, cautioned that the Donbas conflict was re-entering an "active phase," saying he expected more open moves by Russia.
Western officials say they are taking those Ukrainian warnings seriously and acknowledge there has been a ratcheting up by Russia of incidents in the Sea of Azov since Russia completed in May the building of a bridge across the strait linking the Russian mainland to Crimea. Russia has increased sharply the number of armed vessels patrolling the Kerch Strait, and cargo ships trying to reach Ukraine's Azov ports — Mariupol and Berdyansk — have found themselves subject to more Russian inspections and week-long delays, resulting in a 33 percent decrease in freight traffic.
West shares blame
Sunday's incident, Ukrainian officials say, is a direct result of the lack of Western reaction to the unfolding imposition of a de facto sea border, which has been slowly but surely throttling access to the Sea of Azov and the Ukraine's important Mariupol industrial region. The Kremlin felt emboldened, they say.
How all this will play out when Trump and Putin meet in Buenos Aires later this week isn't clear. When asked whether it will have any impact on the encounter between the two leaders, Kremlin spokesman Peskov said the clash in the Kerch Strait won't affect preparations for the meeting.
Putin may be banking, say American officials, on reducing any fallout from the Kerch clash by pledging to enforce U.N. sanctions on North Korea ahead of a planned U.S.-North Korea summit next month, something he was urged to do earlier this month by U.S. Vice President Mike Pence during an exchange at an Asian summit meeting.
Began testing the readiness of formations and military units of the Southern Military District for the new school year.
To check the readiness of more than 40 formations and military units of the Southern Military District (YuVO) to the beginning of the new school year, complex commissions started from the directorates and services of the district headquarters appointed by the commander of the Southern Military District Colonel-General Alexander Dvornikov.
Representatives of the branches of the branches of troops and services of the Southern Military District check the readiness of the training material base, weapons and military equipment, as well as the state of social facilities in the units and military units of the district subordination, combined-arms units, the Black Sea Fleet, the Caspian Flotilla and 4 air forces and armies Air Defense.
In order to organize the training process in the new academic year, more than 30 combined-arms ranges, shooting ranges, as well as more than 400 training classes and about 200 training complexes at the order base were trained in the Southern Military District.
More than 3.5 thousand targets and radio-controlled firing systems were equipped for conducting training in firing training at combined-arms ranges.
The new academic year in the troops of the Southern Military District will begin on December 1 of this year.
November 28th, 2018, 00:42
vector7
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
#BREAKING: Heavy artillery fire along the front in eastern Ukraine. Possibly near Mariupol #Ukraine#Russia
By ZOYA SHEFTALOVICH 11/27/18, 11:12 AM CET Updated 11/27/18, 3:27 PM CET
Russian President Vladimir Putin will announce his position on the Kerch Strait crisis “in the coming days,” but “it would be wrong to underestimate the significance and danger” of the episode, the Kremlin’s spokesman said Tuesday.
Referring to a statement in which U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Russia and Ukraine should hold direct talks to resolve the crisis, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that is unnecessary.
“Actually, the situation does not need to be calmed,” Peskov said, according to Russian news agency TASS. “[That] happened the day before yesterday, when our border guards calmed the violators of the Russian Federation’s state border.”
Ukraine’s parliament on Monday voted to introduce martial law for 30 days after Russia on Sunday opened fire on two Ukrainian armored artillery vessels and a tugboat off the coast of Crimea. Russia’s FSB security service claimed the vessels had illegally entered its territorial waters, and authorities seized the three ships, detaining 24 sailors.
We repeat: There are at least 150,000 Russian Ground Forces troops in a state of combat readiness (trained, kept on their toes with drills/alerts) that Russia could deploy west into Ukraine within a 96 hour period. Plus Russian airborne and marine troops. All covered by air force pic.twitter.com/6PzctEOite
— GorseFires Collectif (@GorseFires) November 28, 2018
EndGameWW3 Retweeted
Ryan Browne
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40m40 minutes ago
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SecDef Mattis on Russian actions in Kerch Strait: "It was obviously a flagrant violation of international law, it was I think a cavalier use of force that injured Ukrainian sailors...it just shows that Russia cannot be counted on right now to keep its wordEndGameWW3 Retweeted
Mikhail D.
@Eire_QC
7h7 hours ago
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"Germany must take a clear line... and put (Russian President Vladimir) Putin in his place," Ukrainian ambassador Andrij Melnyk told German radio on Wednesday. "Everything is at stake." #UkraineEndGameWW3 Retweeted
Mikhail D.
@Eire_QC
7h7 hours ago
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The Ambassador has even raised the possibility for Germany to send Marines to the Black Sea. #Ukraine
ELINT News
@ELINTNews
1h1 hour ago
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#UPDATE: On top of this new deployment of S-400 systems to Crimea today, the Russian army 31st air defence division has already previously deployed the S-400 triumph to numerous regions of the peninsula including at Yevpatoria, Sevastopol and Feodosiia Via- @ukraine_world
Re: Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (Formerly: Democratic Malaise Draws Ukraine Eastwards
Russia International News 🇷🇺
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Major events unfolding in #ukraine #Russia President Trump is now in the War room being briefed on the incident/s
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The Press Pool has now returned to the White House. A travel/photo lid has been put into place. No travel expected for the rest of the night from the president. (link: https://twitter.com/zekejmiller/stat...29637005783040) twitter.com/zekejmiller/st…
6:59 PM · Nov 28, 2018 ·
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