RUSSIAN Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has decided to run for the presidency next year, raising the possibility of a power struggle with his protege Dmitry Medvedev, the incumbent Kremlin leader, say highly placed sources.
The once-close relationship between Mr Putin, the tough-talking former KGB officer who has inspired a personality cult, and Mr Medvedev, a softly spoken Twitter enthusiast, has become increasingly fractious amid speculation in Moscow that the younger man wishes to stand again.
Insiders familiar with both leaders said Mr Putin, who served eight years as president before becoming Prime Minister three years ago, had begun to lose confidence in Mr Medvedev's loyalty.
Under the constitution, Mr Putin's move to reclaim the presidency could see him rule for two consecutive six-year terms until 2024, when he will be 72. If so, he would have served as prime minister or president for 24 years in all.
The sources said recent criticism by Mr Medvedev had made Mr Putin suspicious. "Putin will run for president. He's made up his mind for good. Rumours that he's still weighing his options are false," said one source.
"There's mounting tension between Medvedev and Putin. The view in Putin's camp is that Medvedev has started behaving with too much arrogance and wants to challenge him. Putin is starting to doubt his loyalty."
The Russian constitution allows the president to serve no more than two consecutive terms. Mr Putin stepped down in 2008 and handed the reins to Medvedev on the tacit understanding that he could come back next year if he wished.
At first Mr Medvedev was regarded as a puppet. He even took to imitating Mr Putin's distinctive macho stride and speaking style. But three years later, Mr Medvedev, who at 45 is still Russia's youngest leader in more than seven decades, is understood to be reluctant to step aside for Mr Putin.
The President is said to be frustrated at the perception, both at home and abroad, that he is a lame duck. A second term would give him the power to pursue a more liberal agenda of greater political freedom and sweeping judicial reforms, in contrast to that of Mr Putin, who is viewed as authoritarian.
"Both Putin and Medvedev see themselves as the next Russian president," said another Kremlin source.
"Given that the former brought the latter to power, that's a problem.
"It's the classic tale of the pupil trying to overtake his master. Putin's camp thinks Medvedev is getting too cocky while the President and his people say it's time for the old man to retire."
In a comment seen as a veiled attack on Mr Putin, Mr Medvedev said last week: "A person who thinks he can stay in power indefinitely is a danger to society.
"Russian history shows that monopolising power leads to stagnation or civil war."
In the past, Mr Medvedev, a Led Zeppelin fan and iPad devotee who speaks fluent English, has been careful to avoid open criticism of Mr Putin but they have clashed recently.
"Make no mistake, Medvedev is an impressive leader who would be good news for Russia if he stays on," said a Kremlin source. "There's rivalry with Putin but they're both too smart to get drawn into a nasty personal conflict.
"The difference is simple: Putin can ask Medvedev to step aside. No matter how reluctantly, he'll oblige. But Medvedev can't stop Putin from coming back. And Putin wants to be president again."
May 23rd, 2011, 16:11
Toad
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
I suspect Mr. Medvedev will quietly step aside, or he will unexpectantly fall quite ill and after a short hospital stay announce he is no longer considering future Presidency aspirations.
As if we haven't seen this coming since 2008.
May 23rd, 2011, 16:13
Ryan Ruck
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
I hear the Polonium Soup is especially good!
May 23rd, 2011, 16:18
American Patriot
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
I'm thinking he's gonna move to the US eventually.....
May 23rd, 2011, 23:30
catfish
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
Is there anyone among us that didn't see this happening? This was basically a foregone conclusion from the moment he became prime minister. I believe most of us here knew this was coming.
May 24th, 2011, 01:59
Toad
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
If I was allowed to lay $1000 down in 2008 that this would happen... I would have done it regardless of the odds, it was a sure bet. The more crazy the odds the more I'd lay down. It's like a shooting star falling in the next month. You know it will. You don't know when, but three dozen will.
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has said he finds it "hard to imagine" that he and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin would run against each other at next year's presidential election.
Competition between them could, he said, "be harmful".
But, speaking to the Financial Times, Mr Medvedev declined to confirm whether he would stand for a second term.
He said reports that there was a growing rivalry between the two men were "absolutely inappropriate".
The president's statements were full of mixed messages, says the BBC's Steve Rosenberg in Moscow.
When asked in the interview if he intended to seek a second term in the Kremlin, the Russian president said "any leader who holds the post of president simply must want to run".
But - he added - "it was another issue" whether he would "take this decision or not".
'Same political force'
He appeared to rule out standing against Mr Putin, if the prime minister decided to put forward his candidacy.
"Vladimir Putin and myself - and Vladimir Putin is my colleague and an old friend - represent, to a large extent, one and the same political force. And therefore competition between us may be detrimental to [our] tasks and goals," he told the FT.
Mr Medvedev repeated his vow to modernise the country, and said this depended on expanding political competition.
He warned that "in the absence of political competition the foundations of a market economy were beginning to disappear."
He hinted at reversing some of the political centralisation and state control of the economy put in place under Mr Putin.
"In some countries there is a rather successful coexistence of market-oriented economies and limited political competition," he said. "This is not for us."
In recent months President Medvedev has grown more critical of his prime minister, says our correspondent Steve Rosenberg.
But, he adds, it is Mr Putin who is widely considered to be the most powerful politician in Russia, and most analysts believe it will be Mr Putin who gets to decide which of them will represent the party of power at next year's presidential election.
June 20th, 2011, 18:34
Backstop
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
Very interesting.
Too many possibilities for me to even try and guess the motivation for making public this supposed conflict between Putin and Medvedev.
But I certainly am not suprised Putin will try to get back in The Big Red Chair.
June 20th, 2011, 18:36
American Patriot
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
Medvedev stated this morning (my time) that he wouldn't run against Putin.
June 20th, 2011, 19:38
Toad
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
Quote:
Competition between them could, he said, "be harmful".
Because, God forbid, candidates running against each other with real debate on the issues isn't good for "Democracy" (Or "federal semi-presidential republic" as it is formally known in Russia.) :rolleyes:
Please. Medvedev simply knows it would be harmful to him personally, physically, mortally, to run an honest hard campaign against Putin. I think any Russian politician who values his, or his family/friends, life knows this.
June 20th, 2011, 19:40
American Patriot
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
I think that's bullshit (No, not what you said, but that the man hasn't the balls to run against Putin).
He needs to man up and run.
June 20th, 2011, 19:43
Toad
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
I know though Medvedev was pretty much hand picked and blessed by Putin, they've been butting heads lately. I wonder how much real friction is between them. If Medvedev respects Putin and bows to who really pulls the strings and will just step aside. Or if he has honest fear of Putin and will step aside.
June 20th, 2011, 20:02
American Patriot
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
Quote:
Originally Posted by Toad
I know though Medvedev was pretty much hand picked and blessed by Putin, they've been butting heads lately. I wonder how much real friction is between them. If Medvedev respects Putin and bows to who really pulls the strings and will just step aside. Or if he has honest fear of Putin and will step aside.
In other words, he'll "just step aside".
I'm not worried about Russian politics. I don't trust them, and I don't trust them a LOT.
(None I mean).
It's a matter of time before they revert to Communism, very little time.
I see it in the next 5 years or perhaps less.
June 20th, 2011, 21:11
Backstop
Re: Putin Decides To Retake Presidency
If their public arguments are real, at some point I predict Putin will just Litvinenko Medvedev.