March 04, 2010
Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych arrives in Moscow today after winning last month’s election on pledges to recalibrate relations with Russia.
Yanukovych plans to meet President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin in the first visit by a Ukrainian head of state in two years. His predecessor Viktor Yushchenko angered the Kremlin by backing Georgia during its five-day war with Russia and agitating for Ukraine’s membership in NATO.
“There’s an understanding that Ukraine should reset the general mood in relations,” said Oleg Voloshin, a spokesman for the Ukrainian embassy in Moscow. “Both sides want to discuss the direction of the political and economic dialogue.”
Yanukovych, a Russian speaker from eastern Ukraine, has said he will improve relations by cooperating with gas producer OAO Gazprom and holding off on membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. At the same time, he’s kept the door open to Europe, taking his first trip as president to Brussels earlier this week.
“Technically this isn’t so significant, but symbolically it is,” said Dmitry Oreshkin, an independent political analyst in Moscow. “Having won the election on a Russophile campaign, he now has to turn to the West to avoid a split in Ukraine.”
Yanukovych, who won 48.95 percent of the vote in the Feb. 7 run-off election, dominated in the eastern half of the country. His opponent, Yulia Tymoshenko, drew 45.47 percent of ballots thanks to voters in the more Europe-oriented west.
Sidelines
Compared with Ukraine’s 2004 elections, when Putin actively campaigned on Yanukovych’s behalf, the Kremlin watched from the sidelines in this year’s vote. Neither Medvedev nor Putin attended Yanukovych’s inauguration in Kiev last week.
Relations deteriorated after Yanukovych lost out to Yushchenko in the 2004 Orange Revolution. Russia responded to the country’s pro-western course by slashing energy subsidies and planning pipelines to Europe that would make Ukraine’s role as a transit country insignificant.
Yanukovych has expressed interest in setting up a venture with Gazprom and other foreign companies to upgrade and operate the Ukrainian pipelines that currently deliver 80 percent of Russian gas exports to Europe.
He has also expressed interest in participatiing in Gazprom’s Nord Stream pipeline project, which is designed to bypass Ukraine by crossing the Baltic Sea to Germany.
Other issues are the fate of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet based in Crimea and the possibility of a loan to Ukraine’s cash- strapped government.
“The Russians aren’t just going to open their checkbook,” Oreshkin said. “Of course it won’t be a meeting between fraternal Orthodox nations, that’s a fairy tale.”
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