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Thread: China 'to save the euro' For a Price

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    Default China 'to save the euro' For a Price

    China's new Silk Road into Europe

    A bold bid for Greece's premier port of Piraeus by state-owned Cosco has given Beijing a foothold on the doorstep of the Continent.



    Image

    An employee of China Ocean Shipping Company (COSCO) stands in front of the ship Cosco Qingdao Photo: AFP/GETTY

    Image
    China's Vice-Premier Zhang Dejiang poses with crew members of a Chinese cargo ship during a visit at Piraeus port Photo: AFP/GETTY

    By Harriet Alexander in Athens 7:00AM BST 04 Jul 2010

    Golfis Yiannis stands on the dock of the Athenian port of Piraeus, unflinching among the dust clouds stirred by the thundering lorries and clattering forklift trucks unloading the vast container ships.

    "That's Europe's new China Town over there," he says, pointing to the pier adjacent to where he is standing. "The only thing that is certain is that we've sold our soul to the Chinese."

    Pier Two of the container port, where Mr Yiannis, 48, has worked for the last 22 years, may seem exactly the same as Pier One – certainly larger, but similarly flanked by gigantic ships and stacked with huge Lego brick-style containers.

    But where as Pier One is Greek, Pier Two is now Chinese.

    China's state-owned shipping giant Cosco last month took control of Pier Two in a £2.8 billion deal to lease the pier for the next 35 years, investing £470 million in upgrading the port facilities, building a new Pier Three and almost tripling the volume of cargo it can handle.

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    The container port, just next door to the Piraeus ferry harbour that is the tourist gateway to the Greek islands, can currently load and unload 1.8 million containers a year - meaning 5,000 come and go each day.

    While many investors flee from the struggling European nation, which last month only avoided bankruptcy by accepting a 110 billion euro (£90 billion) bailout from the European Union and the IMF, China seen an opportunity to make strides into Europe, buying key assets at enticing prices and gaining access its valuable markets.

    The Chinese envisage creating a network of ports, logistics centres and railways to distribute their products across Europe – in essence a modern Silk Road - hastening the speed of East-West trade and creating a valuable economic foothold on the continent. They aim to make the container port a hub to rival Rotterdam - Europe's largest port.

    "The Chinese want a gateway into Europe," said Theodoros Pangalos, deputy prime minister. "They are not like these Wall St ****s, pushing financial investments on paper. The Chinese deal in real things, in merchandise.

    And they will help the real economy in Greece."

    It is not the first time China has seen opportunity where others see adversity. With their economy booming and their currency strong, the Chinese have made a series of controversial investments in mining and infrastructure in Africa, which critics say allow them to remove valuable raw materials with little benefit to the local economy.

    Workers at the port, like others in Greece, are uneasy the long-term implications of allowing China to take advantage of the country's economic weakness to take such an important stake in a strategically crucial part of its economy.

    From his union's office overlooking the port and the jumble of high-rise blocks that crowd Piraeus's hills, George Nouhoutides, president of the Union of Dockworkers, told The Sunday Telegraph that the decision to sign the contract was "catastrophic".

    "When you discuss a deal with one wealthy country and one which has a lot of debt, who dictates the terms?" he asked. "China wants a 'Made in Europe' label with tax exemptions, favourable terms and to hell with Greek interests."

    Mr Nouhoutides - who was born two block from the port and has worked there for 34 years - added: "They are playing a clever game. They have 1.5 billion slaves and money to burn, so of course they want to access our markets. It is catastrophic for all workers – not just for the Greeks."

    But Katinka Barysch, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, says that it was unlikely the Chinese investment in Greece will be of such a "vulture" nature.

    "The danger that Cosco will behave like some of the Chinese mining and oil companies in Africa is pretty remote," she said.

    "Greece is a member of the EU, so it has a much more solid legal framework. There are clear constraints about what foreign investors can and cannot do in our markets.

    "The risk is more that these sovereign companies invest too quickly in trophy assets and then manage them badly or don't manage to make a profit out of them.

    "But cash is very short in Europe now. So my guess is that the Chinese investment will not encounter too much political opposition. Where else would the money come from?"

    Indeed, many see the Chinese investment in Piraeus as just the beginning of a far broader scheme to access European markets.
    As countries such as Spain, Portugal and Ireland struggle with their financial burdens, China is eyeing up potentially irresistible investment opportunities.

    This month a group of Chinese manufacturers hope to be given approval to develop a £40 milion plot in Athlone, central Ireland, and begin construction of a hub of schools, apartments, railways and factories to create Chinese products. The Chinese plan to ship in 2,000 Chinese workers to construct the site, and eventually employ 8,000 Irish staff in what has been dubbed "Beijing-on-Shannon".

    And Chinese investment is something the cash-strapped Greek government has welcomed with open arms.

    Last month Zhang Dejiang, China's vice premier, lead a delegation of 30 of the country's leading businessmen to Athens to sign hundreds of millions of euros worth of investments in Greek shipping, logistics and infrastructure projects.

    Greek officials said that the 14 deals amounted to the biggest single investment that China had ever made in Europe.

    "I am convinced that Greece can overcome its current economic difficulties," said Mr Dejiang. "The Chinese government will encourage Chinese businesses to come to Greece to seek investment opportunities."

    Yet China hungrily eyeing up Greek assets has not been met with universal approval. Dock workers have repeatedly gome on strike to protest against the deal since it was first mooted in 2006 - and were further infuriated when it was signed with great fanfare and a personal visit by President Hu Jinato in November 2008.

    They say that the port was making a profit so did not need to be taken over, and claim that the Chinese pay their workers just 50 euros a day, which in the face of unemployment the Greek dock hands have to accept. Cosco refused to discuss pay rates or other aspects of the project with The Sunday Telegraph.

    "They want desperate people who will work for one bowl of rice a day," said Charalambos Giakoumelos, 53, who has worked at the docks for 22 years.

    "This was to be the lungs of the Greek recovery – and yet the government has given it away for the price of a piece of bread." "Cosco came here, and the nice Greek government gave everything away," agreed Nick Vithoulkas, 55.

    "It's not only the port they are after. My son is 26 and I have told him he should leave Greece. There is no future here."

    As Cosco took control of Pier Two, the Greek state-owned Pireaus Port Authority was left with Pier One – which is smaller and shallower, thus unable to accommodate the larger ships.

    "It is as if they have created a supermarket right next to our minimarket," said Mr Nouhoutides. "How can we ever compete with that?"

    Yet many in Greece believe that the arrival of China in the form of Cosco is exactly what its ailing economy needs.

    "This is the locomotive for our development," said Nikolaos Arvanitis, president of the International Maritime Union – the organisation that represents the world's largest shipping companies - including Cosco.

    "Greece needs investment. The Chinese came with good will and we are open to other people who want to come and invest here.

    "Our old ways of working were very primitive. Now we can really drive forwards and improve Greece's economy. There is nothing to be afraid of – the Chinese are here to develop our infrastructure, and we will benefit. It is a win-win project."

    The port may prove just the beginning of China's ambition in Greece. By the end of the year China is expected to make a joint bid with a Greek company to create a 200 million euro (£165 million) logistics hub at Attica, near the port, to distribute goods from China into the Balkans and the rest of the continent. The Chinese are also in talks to buy a share in the struggling state-owned railway.

    With the strategic position of Piraeus as being near the Bosphorus, the port also provides a way into the Black Sea region, central Asia and Russia.

    Yet although the Chinese are undeniably involved in Athenian affairs, their physical presence is decidedly limited. In the slightly down-at-heel immigrant quarter of Omonia, where tacky Chinese hypermarkets sell cheap plastic jewellery, household goods and nylon clothes, the few Chinese on the streets claimed never to have heard of Cosco, and hurried away quickly. Chinese noodle bars are yet to replace the Greek tavernas lining the streets.

    Staff in the offices of Cosco's shipping company, in an unprepossessing office block overlooking the cruise ships of the passenger terminal, said that of their 45 members of staff, only the director and financial director were Chinese. In the port terminal offices, of 250 members of staff only 10 administrative and managerial staff were Chinese.

    But the Chinese are certainly making their mark in Europe, keen to flex their muscles. And with their deep pockets and seemingly limitless ambition, they look likely to succeed.

    Wei Jiafu, Cosco's chief executive, said in a recent television interview with Greece's Skai Television: "I came here to help bring the port of Piraeus back to its original position. I hope that within a year's time it will be the number one container port in the Mediterranean.

    "We have a saying in China, 'Construct the eagle's nest, and the eagle will come'. We have constructed such a nest in your country to attract such Chinese eagles.

    "This is our contribution to you."

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    Default China steps up to bail-out debt-ridden Eurozone nations

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    China says it will bail out debt-ridden Eurozone nations

    By
    Daily Mail Reporter
    Last updated at 4:14 PM on 23rd December 2010





    Pledge: Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao offered to buy Greek bonds in October and the country has also agreed to buy out Portuguese debt

    China has said it is willing to bail out debt-ridden countries in the euro zone using its $2.7trillion overseas investment fund.


    In a fresh humiliation for Europe, Foreign Ministry spokesman Jiang Yu said it was one of the most important areas for China's foreign exchange investments.

    The country has already approached struggling European countries with financial aid, including offering to buy Greece's debt in October and promising to buy $4billion of Portuguese government debt.

    'To have any discernible effect China will have to buy a lot more than 5billion euros if they expect to have any impact on the negative sentiment surrounding Europe,' said Michael Hewson, currency analyst at CMC Markets.

    China's astonishing economic growth has put it on track to overtake America as the world's economic powerhouse within two years, a recent report claimed.

    But experts believed still be some years before America's leadership role is really challenged - largely because Beijing has given no indication it is ready to take on the responsibility of shepherding the world' economy.

    This foray into the future of the euro could be a signal from Beijing that it is ready to change that perception.


    The euro rose temporarily on the news of China's support - but was sinking again this morning to a three-week low against the dollar.




    Protest: Strikers carrying placards demonstrate outside the Greek Parliament in Athens. Greece is among a number of EU countries struggling financially

    The single currency earlier fell to around $1.3050, below its 200-day moving average currently located at $1.3092 on trading platform EBS.


    Investors have pushed the euro beneath this key support level for the past three sessions, only to see the currency bounce back later in the day.


    Analysts said the euro will likely hold above $1.30 in the coming days, with traders reluctant to place big bets before year-end.


    THE LOCOMOTIVE DRIVING THE WORLD ECONOMY
    China could overtake America as the world’s biggest economy within two years, according to a leading financial think tank.

    As growth in the U.S. slows down to a virtual standstill, China’s economy is revving up into double digits, the Conference Board said in a report published today.

    In purely dollar terms, it is going to take much longer than two years for China’s $5 trillion economy to match up to the $15 trillion output in the US.

    Even if the Chinese can sustain their current growth, it would take another ten years.

    But in terms of purchasing power, taking into account the goods and services a country actually buys at home, China is well on its way to outstripping its fading competitor.

    Looking even further ahead, the Conference Board predicts China could account for almost one quarter of the global economy in 2020, compared to 15 per cent for the US and 13 per cent for Western Europe.

    The board predicted China’s economy should grow 10 per cent this year and 9.6 per cent in 2011, while America’s 2.6 per cent growth in 2010 will sink to 1.2 per cent next year.

    The outlook for the single currency remains shaky, with fresh losses expected into 2011, they added.

    The Financial Times reported yesterday that China had offered to take more 'concerted action' to support European financial stabilisation.
    It cited unnamed senior European officials after talks with Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan.

    Portuguese officials have said the government is trying to diversify its debt investor base, with China as a priority.

    Finance Minister Fernando Teixeira dos Santos met Chinese Finance Minister Xie Curen and the head of the People's Bank of China during a visit to the country last week.

    But it is unclear whether Beijing would be prepared to take on so much fresh exposure to Portugal, after domestic political pressure to invest the country's foreign reserves more carefully.

    Chinese investment funds suffered from large, high-profile losses during the global financial crisis.

    In October, during a visit to Greece, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao offered to buy Greek bonds when Athens resumed issuing.

    A month later, President Hu Jintao visited Portugal and offered 'concrete measures' to help the weak economy, but stopped short of promising to buy Portuguese bonds.

    It is still believed that it will be some years before China actually overtakes the U.S. to become the world's largest economy.

    Politicians argue that technology is still behind and much of the country still lives in poverty.


    And in another economic measure, output per person, China lags way behind the US.


    Last year, the International Monetary Fund calculated gross domestic product per head in the US at $46,000. The GDP breakdown in China was just $4,000 per person.

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    Default Re: China's new Silk Road into Europe

    Nov 25, 2008
    China-Greece port deal signed

    ATHENS - CHINESE President Hu Jintao promised to expand maritime trade with Greece after finalising a US$1 billion (S$1.51 billion) container-port concession deal on Tuesday.

    Under the agreement, China's Cosco Pacific will receive a 35-year concession to manage two container terminals at Greece's main port of Piraeus.

    The deal, worth 831.2 million euros (S$1.51 billion), prompted protests by dockworkers. The agreement was signed after Mr Hu met Greek Prime Minister Costas Karamanlis for talks.

    Mr Karamanlis said Greece will become a key transit point for Chinese goods bound for south-east Europe and the eastern Mediterranean.
    'The concession deal between the port of Piraeus and Cosco marks a new and significant chapter in our cooperation ... Greece plays particular importance with its partnership with China and is determined to deepen this relationship,' Mr Karamanlis said.

    Dock workers staged a 24-hour strike to protest Tuesday's agreement. Their unions oppose the privatisation of the container terminals and warn that an increased influx of Chinese products will hurt the local market.

    Several hundred dock workers protested in central Athens, but were blocked by police from marching to Karamanlis' official residence. The rally ended peacefully.

    'There are no guarantees that businesses won't be set up here to process Chinese goods so that they are sold on as products of the European Union,' said Gorgeous Loukoutidis, head of Piraeus port workers. -- AP

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    Nikita Khrushchev: "We will bury you"
    "Your grandchildren will live under communism."
    “You Americans are so gullible.
    No, you won’t accept
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    outright, but we’ll keep feeding you small doses of
    To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 15 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.
    until you’ll finally wake up and find you already have communism.

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    Default Re: China steps up to bail-out debt-ridden Eurozone nations

    Greece is tapping China's deep pockets to help rebuild its economy

    By Anthony Faiola
    Wednesday, June 9, 2010


    PIRAEUS, GREECE -- Nearly bankrupt and sullied in the eyes of foreign investors, Greece is moving to rebuild its economy by tapping the deep pockets of another ancient civilization: China.

    Spurred on by government incentives and bargain-basement prices, the Chinese are planning to pump hundreds of millions -- perhaps billions -- of euros into Greece even as other investors run the other way. The cornerstone of those plans is the transformation of the Mediterranean port of Piraeus into the Rotterdam of the south, creating a modern gateway linking Chinese factories with consumers across Europe and North Africa.

    The port project is emerging as a bellwether for Greek plans to pay down debt and reinvent its broken economy by privatizing inefficient government-owned utilities, trains and even casinos. This week, the Chinese shipping giant Cosco assumed full control of the major container dock in Piraeus, just southwest of Athens. In return, the Chinese have pledged to spend $700 million to construct a new pier and upgrade existing docks.

    The Greek government, for its part, is taking on the powerful unions in a bid to ensure that the Chinese can introduce dramatic changes to increase efficiency and productivity. That effort has ironically turned the Greek Communist Party -- which is closely aligned with the labor unions -- into the fiercest critic of China's economic march on Greece.
    The Greek government is also courting China for a bevy of other projects, including a sprawling new distribution center in the industrial wastelands west of Athens, a monorail line, five-star hotels and a new maritime theme park. Greek hotels, eager to fill rooms as crisis-weary Europeans cut back on travel, are also wooing Chinese tour operators as never before. The whitewashed island of Santorini has started selling itself as the ideal spot for "Big Fat Mandarin Weddings" and has seen a surge in fairytale nuptials by wealthy Chinese as a result.

    "We have a saying in China, 'Construct the eagle's nest, and the eagle himself will come,' " Wei Jiafu, Cosco's charismatic chief executive, said in a televised interview in Athens this week. A high-ranking member of China's Communist Party, he is now so well-known in Greece that many here refer to him by his nickname, "Captain Wei."

    "We have constructed such a nest in your country to attract such Chinese eagles," he said. "This is our contribution to you."

    Pattern of investing
    The Chinese have plunked down billions from Angola to Peru to ensure the delivery of natural resources to feed China's red-hot economy as well as to guarantee unfettered and cost-effective shipment of its exports abroad. The investments here in Greece, analysts say, are part of China's plan to create a network of roads, pipelines, railroads and port facilities -- sort of a modern Silk Road -- to boost East-West trade.
    Forced in April to turn to the European Union and International Monetary Fund for a $140 billion bailout, Greece fits perfectly into China's pattern of investing in challenging environments. China is building a new commercial maritime base in Greece at a time when other European nations remain suspicious of Chinese state investment. France, citing national security risks, recently blocked a bid by China to take over a French firm.

    Alarm is also growing that China's plans will flood Europe with cheap Asian imports.

    "There is growing unease in Europe at the extent and size of their trade imbalance with China," said Jonathan Wood, global issues analyst at Control Risks in London. "They are worried about finding themselves in the same situation as the United States, running a high trade deficit with China."

    Yet the Greeks see Chinese investment as nothing short of a gift from the gods. The biggest question facing the troubled European Union is how nations with uncompetitive economies such as Portugal, Spain and Greece can reinvent themselves to be more on par with the successful nations of Northern Europe. Greek officials say Chinese investment is offering a glimpse into how this nation can do just that by building on its expertise in shipping.

    CONTINUED 1 2 Next

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    Default Re: China's new Silk Road into Europe

    Dispatch: China Considers Buying European Debt


    January 3, 2011 | 2154 GMT



    Analyst Marko Papic examines speculation that China is considering buying European outstanding debt as the Chinese vice premier prepares to visit Europe.

    Editor’s Note: Transcripts are generated using speech-recognition technology. Therefore, STRATFOR cannot guarantee their complete accuracy.

    Chinese Deputy Premier Li visits Spain, Germany and the United Kingdom from Jan. 4 to 12. His visit is fueling speculation that China is considering buying a considerable portion of European outstanding debt in 2011.

    Li’s visit to Europe is significant because he is somebody who is speculated to be the successor to the current premier, Wen. Li’s visit also comes as China continues to consider diversifying its purchases of U.S. Treasury bills to other sovereign debt as well, and Europe certainly has ample amount of sovereign debt. In terms of what China actually gets out of buying European debt, there really are four different issues.

    The first is of course the diversification argument, which we already mentioned. The second is the idea that it could make smaller deals with specific countries. Earlier in 2010, it says that it would continue to purchase Greek debt and this led to successful purchases of several assets in Greece that Beijing hopes will be really a beachhead into Central and Eastern Europe. The third issue is protectionism. The Chinese are hoping that their willingness to consider purchasing some distressed debt in Europe will lead to a more relaxed attitude by the Europeans when it comes to trade protectionist attitudes. Only recently the Italian EU commissioner, Antonia Tajani, said that he would like to see the EU set up something akin to the U.S. Committee on Foreign Investments, an agency that would essentially review whether or not a particular European asset should be sold to a foreign bidder, and he specifically claimed that Chinese purchases of various assets in Europe have to do with purchasing essentially Europe’s technology at a low cost.

    Finally, China would like to see the EU rescind its embargo on arms trades with Beijing. This is something that a number of European countries have wanted to see ended for while; the French of course stand to gain considerably from potential arms sales to China. However, the likelihood of anything really moving the Europeans in that direction is very low. The U.S. pressure on its allies within the European Union — such as the United Kingdom, but also other NATO member states — would be extreme, and therefore it is quite unlikely that the Europeans will be able to get the unanimity necessary to overturn the embargo.

    Thus far there is no evidence proving that the Chinese bought a considerable amount of European debt in 2010 or that they’re willing to purchase more in 2011 other than public statements. However, public statements may be in the end all that the Europeans are looking for from Beijing. Mere mention that the Chinese are thinking of putting some portion — even a small portion — of their $2.7 trillion worth of foreign exchange behind European debt is worrying for investors thinking of shorting the euro in 2011, and it may stay the investors at least for the first quarter of 2011 in terms of betting against the euro.

    It will therefore be interesting to watch in the first quarter of 2011 whether the Chinese public statements of support have any measurable impact on interest rates during bond sales or whether there is greater demand for European bonds, especially of distressed countries like Spain and Italy. Furthermore, it will be interesting to see whether Li’s visit actually brings any return on potential Chinese investments.

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    “You Americans are so gullible.
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    Default Re: China's new Silk Road into Europe

    China buys up EU Government Debt

    China has been increasing its holdings of European government debt amid the euro-zone crisis, including that of Spain.

    By News Desk — GlobalPost Editors
    Published: January 6, 2011 07:46 ET in Asia



    Chinese Executive-Vice Premier Li Keqiang (L) and Spanish Vice President and Minister of Finance Elena Salgado prior to talks on Jan. 4, 2011 in Madrid. Keqiang is on a three-day official visit in Europe, starting with Spain and including Britain and Germany. (Dominique Faget/AFP/Getty Images)

    China has been increasing its holdings of European government debt, including that issued by Spain, amid the euro-zone crisis, Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Gao Hucheng was quoted as saying on Thursday.

    The Spanish daily El Pais on Thursday cited Spanish government sources as saying China has committed to buy about 6 billion euros ($7.89 billion) worth of Spanish sovereign debt.

    In a statement on the ministry's website, Gao also said that China was confident in Spanish and European financial markets and confident that they would be able to overcome Europe's debt crisis, the Wall Street Journal reported.

    "We will continue to buy debt and work together with Spain," said Gao, who is accompanying Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang on a visit to Spain and other European countries.

    Both officials have expressed confidence that Spain will recover from its economic crisis despite market fears of an Irish-style bailout.


    El Pais published an article written by Vice Premier Li, titled, "China and Spain: A brighter future through win-win cooperation."

    Political and corporate leaders increasingly see China as a source of capital. China's foreign-exchange reserves are by far the world's largest, totaling $2.648 trillion at the end of September.

    In the meantime, the economic mood in Europe ended 2010 on a high note, a key indicator released Thursday showed.

    The European Commission's closely watched business and consumer survey for the members of the euro currency bloc rose from 105.2 in November to a more-than-forecast 106.2 last month. The consensus among economists was that the index would nudge up to 105.5.

    Ben May, European economist with the research group Capital Economics, told Monstersandcritics.com the data suggested that, "the improving global economic outlook is offsetting the ongoing troubles in the periphery."


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    Nikita Khrushchev: "We will bury you"
    "Your grandchildren will live under communism."
    “You Americans are so gullible.
    No, you won’t accept
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    outright, but we’ll keep feeding you small doses of
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    until you’ll finally wake up and find you already have communism.

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    Default Re: China 'to save the euro' For a Price

    Enter the dragon 'to save the euro’

    It is in the interest of cash-rich China to help resolve the eurozone debt crisis, but Chinese premier Wen Jiabao, who is visiting Britain and Continental Europe, will want a share of the West’s buying power in return.


    Chinese premier Wen Jiabao realised that his economy needs struggling Europe to keep buying its goods.

    By Malcolm Moore, in Shanghai, Peter Foster in Beijing and Andrew Cave in London
    10:00PM BST 25 Jun 2011
    Comments

    As Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier, stepped off his plane in Birmingham on Saturday, it was difficult to avoid the feeling that the UK, and Europe, have never looked weaker in Chinese eyes.

    In private, senior Chinese diplomats are now openly scornful of Britain’s economic prospects and have even asked why Mr Wen should grace such a weak trading partner with three days of his time.

    Indeed, it is telling that the first stop on Mr Wen’s tour is Longbridge, the old MG Rover car factory that passed into Chinese hands in 2005.

    Once a byword for poor productivity, wildcat strikes and trade union power in its British Leyland and Austin Rover days, the plant is now host to China’s biggest industrial presence in the UK. Owned by Shanghai Automobile Industry Corporation, the factory designs and assembles MG cars in the UK made from car parts manufactured in China.

    However, the Longbridge site remains the only major example of Sino-British co-operation, something that the Prime Minister, David Cameron, whose advisers have helped co-ordinate the visit, is determined to change.

    On Mr Cameron’s visit to China last year, a target was announced for increasing bilateral UK-China trade to $100bn by 2015, from its 2010 total of $63bn and Number 10 sources said yesterday that they believe that “progress has been made” on hitting that figure.

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    Whether much more can be achieved depends partly on the success of the visit, which includes a formal summit in London tomorrow with a 35-strong Chinese delegation including China’s foreign minister Yang Jiechi, vice-minister for foreign affairs, Fu Ying, and minister of commerce, Chen Deming.

    In formal business and personal conversations between Mr Wen and the British trade minister and former HSBC chairman Lord Green, who is accompanying the premier around Longbridge today, the UK message will be about further strengthening state and business ties with a view to achieving growth and sending that bilateral figure higher.

    Meanwhile, Culture, Media and Sport Cabinet minister, Jeremy Hunt, who is accompanying Mr Wen to William Shakespeare’s birthplace of Stratford-upon-Avon, will be seeking to set up a formal structure of future summits to develop better “people” relationships between the countries with a particular focus on education, science and culture.


    In London, where Mr Wen may go, apparently, for a jog in Hyde Park, the main topics for discussion will be the weighty topics of climate change (China is now one of the world’s leaders in green technology), the global economy, international security and development.

    While Number 10 was refusing to comment yesterday on what else could be on the agenda, the Middle East and the economic crisis in Greece are also expected to come up for discussion.

    Yesterday, at the start of his European visit in Hungary, Mr Wen gave a strong pledge of China’s support for the embattled euro, saying that China will buy Hungarian government bonds and “consistently” support the euro as Europe attempts to fight its way out of a sovereign debt crisis. “China is a long term investor in Europe’s sovereign debt market,” he said at a press conference with the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orban. “In recent years we have increased by quite a big margin our holdings of government bonds. We will consistently continue to support Europe and the euro.”

    Whilst in the UK, the Chinese are determined to be aggressive with their British counterparts in private discussions during three days, demanding access to every area of UK technological expertise. China feels it now has the whip hand, after years of eyeing the West with suspicion. The West’s need for Chinese goods and investment (China has a significant current account surplus) are increasingly outweighing concerns about the way China does business or the low value of its currency. The UK knows it has to compete for business with other EU members as well as North and South America, the rest of Asia, Australia and Africa.

    Now only 3pc of export licences fall foul of the European Union’s “dual-use” regulations, which forbid goods to be sent to China that could conceivably be also used for military purposes.

    Instead, it is British companies themselves who have held back their technology, worried that it will simply be pirated once it has arrived in China, and concerned that the playing field for foreign companies in China is still not level.

    For Chinese leaders, who are used to instructing their state-owned companies in how to conduct business, the apparently laissez-faire attitude of the British Government towards its companies, is a black mark.

    Similarly, the Chinese ambassador to the UK, Liu Xiaoming, has called for China to be handed the contracts to build the UK’s new high-speed rail link. “There’s a lot of talk about getting more Chinese investment but we need more action,” he said ahead of the visit.

    “Chinese businesses will compare why they should invest in the UK and not in France or Germany. We need to identify flagship projects and high-speed rail might be one of them”.

    Again, there seems to be a culture gap. “They are very keen to do the rail link, and they do not really understand our tender process,” said one source close to the negotiations.

    China also has its own issues to contend with. Economic analysts at Credit Suisse last week revised down their forecast of China’s GDP growth for 2012 from 8.9pc to 8.5pc, still well above European levels.

    They said they believed that persistent inflation, slowing growth and continued fiscal tightening are likely to play out not only in the second half of this year but also well into 2012.

    They also expect the financial stress in China’s small and medium size enterprise sector to spread to other parts of the economy. If the situation does not improve soon, they expect weakened demand and rising debt.

    The export outlook has dimmed recently and the analysts say they would not be surprised to see zero growth in exports in the second half of this year. Meanwhile, the report expects inflation to peak soon, but say it is likely to stay at elevated levels as services inflation takes off.

    So what can we expect to be achieved from the Wen visit, the fourth by a senior Chinese leader to Europe in the past six months? There will be plenty of hand-shaking and even a new slogan: “Partners for Growth”.

    Officials from both sides will earnestly discuss the “mutual complementarities” of the Chinese and British economies. Some deals will be signed. The Chinese have said they will leave the UK with a bounty of $4 billion worth of deals. The UK, meanwhile, says the actual value is “several hundred million pounds”.

    There has been no word on whether a key deal by Diageo, the drinks company, to buy a Chinese spirits maker, will finally go through. Despite ticking all the boxes, and intense pressure from George Osborne, the Chancellor, the deal has been stalled for years by Chinese obsfuscation which some say is tantamount to protectionism.

    The portents for summits in between EU and China in recent years have been anything but auspicious, however, as Raffaello Pantucci points out in a paper for ISN Insights. He recalls that a 2008, summit was “spooked” by tensions during the Beijing Olympics and attitudes to Tibet.

    When the French and sitting EU President, Nicolas Sarkozy, made time to meet the Dalai Lama in December 2008, the Chinese responded by pulling the plug on that year’s summit.

    2010 also proved tricky when Mr Wen – who believed that China would be granted the long-awaited Market Economy Status, conferring EU recognition that China is a market economy and providing some anti-dumping protections – was instead handed a list of demands during his Brussels visit. The meeting collapsed and a planned press conference was cancelled.

    This time, the constant theme of how to resolve Europe’s debt crisis will run behind the diplomacy. China, which has invested heavily in Greek infrastructure, is likely to cast itself as a magnanimous saviour.

    Making sure that “certain European nations” overcome their difficulties is “extremely important for us”, said Fu Ying, the vice foreign minister, last week.

    But while the Chinese media will sell any intervention as a grand favour to impoverished Europe, it is worth remembering that Europe remains China’s biggest export market. And with the latest surveys indicating that Chinese factories have slowed to almost flat growth, China needs Europe to keep on buying its goods or face difficulties in what remains one of the key pillars of its economy. China may be the world’s fastest-growing major economy, but it still needs moribund old Europe.

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    Default Re: China 'to save the euro' For a Price

    Tuesday, June 28, 2011 10:45 AM EDT
    China and Germany Sign Huge Trade Deals

    On the final stop of a five-day visit to Europe, the Prime Minister of China Wen Jiabao has signed a huge multi-billion euro trading agreement with Germany.


    (Photo: Reuters)
    China's Premier Wen gestures as he addresses a news conference with German Chancellor Merkel at the Chancellery in Berlin


    Related Articles

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    HP to develop cloud products in China

    Baidu keen on Shanghai international board listing: paper

    The slew of deals, estimated to be valued at about $15-bilion include the purchase of 88 Airbus A320 aircraft by China; and a pact for Germany to manufacture electric cars in China.

    Germany, Europe’s largest and most powerful economy is perfectly positioned to help modernize China through the sale of world-class high-technology products. The two nations also agreed to form a system whereby government officials will periodically meet to discuss a wide range of subjects, including investment and trade, but also such topics as human rights, environmental concerns and security.

    According to reports, China, now the world’s number one exporters, is also Germany’s third-biggest trading partner, after France and the Netherlands (and ahead of the U.S.).

    “A new chapter has been built,” Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel said during a joint news conference with Wen.

    The relations between Germany and China were seriously endangered in 2007, when Merkel met with the Dalai Lama, the exiled Tibetan spiritual leader. At the time, China threatened to retaliate by withholding lucrative contracts from the Germans.

    Since that near-rupture Merkel has focused more on trade relations with China.

    She now estimates that Germany’s bilateral trade with China could more than double to $285 billion by 2015.

    “China respects the European political system,” Wen said at a German business forum. “On the other hand, we expect respect for China’s system and China’s territorial integrity.”

    Still, there remain many contentious issues between Beijing and Berlin, some of which Merkel reportedly discussed with Wen during their talks.

    Among them, technology transfer, in which China allegedly copies foreign machines and remakes them as their own. Another difficult problem has to do with intellectual property rights.

    German firms are also worked about how Chinese companies are subsidized when they do business in foreign countries, particularly in Eastern Europe.

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    Nikita Khrushchev: "We will bury you"
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    “You Americans are so gullible.
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    until you’ll finally wake up and find you already have communism.

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    Default Re: China 'to save the euro' For a Price

    George Soros Predicts Greece Default, Owns Two Greek Companies: DSX, DRYS

    Guru Focus
    June 27, 2011

    In a panel discussion in Vienna Sunday, billionaire investor guru George Soros said he believes that, “We are on the verge of economic collapse, let’s say, in Greece, but it could easily spread,” Bloomberg reports. He also said that European nations leaving the euro is “probably inevitable,” although the process had not begun yet.

    Greece’s economy is the 27th largest in the world by GDP, and in 2010 was 328.6 trillion euros in debt, a 10.5% deficit, which was worse than the 9.4% estimate anticipated by the government of Greece.

    Soros is famous for generating an average annual return of over 30% while running the Quantum Fund. He is also an expert at currency speculation, making a massive bet in 1992 against the British pound, from which he earned a $1 billion profit.

    While Soros believes the sky is falling in the euro zone, he has many international stocks in his portfolio that he still views as profitable investments, even in the epicenter of the financial crisis, Greece.

    Diana Shipping Inc. (DSX)

    Diana Shipping Inc. is a global provider of shipping transportation services. Diana Shipping Inc. has a market cap of $883.49 million; its shares were traded at around $10.78 with a P/E ratio of 6.53 and P/S ratio of 3.21. Diana Shipping Inc. had an annual average earnings growth of 23.9% over the past five years.

    Soros’ Fund purchased 3,900 shares of Diana Shipping Inc. in the first quarter, adding to the 11,600 it bought in the fourth quarter 2010, bringing total shares to 15,500 as of March 31, 2011. From 2006 to 2008, shipping stocks soared, and Diana Shipping was trading at up to $40, until it crashed down to around $8 near the end of 2008. Diana Shipping’s stock price is actually up 3.78% over the last five years and down 11% year to date.

    Shipping companies faced compounded difficulty during the financial crisis because their contracts for new ships were locked in several years into the future, meaning they had to accept ships when they could not get charters from their existing ones. Dozens of shipping companies filed for bankruptcy as a consequence.

    “Years later, rates have slowly climbed back up, but a guaranteed supply glut for another few years continues to pressure even the best run shipping firms. In fact, many companies haven’t reinstated their cut dividend from 2008,” said GuruFocus writer Ryan Vanzo in an April article.

    Diana Shipping has not issued a dividend since December 2008.

    The company lost $46 million in 2010 and generated free cash flow of $152 million in 2009. It has long term liabilities and debt of only $321 million, with cash of $345 million. It has been increasing its fleet every year since 2006 and owned 22.9 ships as of 2010, with a fleet utilization rate of 99.7%.

    DryShips Inc. (DRYS)

    Dryships Inc. is an owner and operator of drybulk carriers that operate worldwide. Dryships Inc. has a market cap of $1.58 billion; its shares were traded at around $3.96 with a P/E ratio of 3.67 and P/S ratio of 1.84.

    In the first quarter 2011, Soros purchased 21,400 shares of DryShips, a new buy. At an average price $4.98 per share, he got a bargain for a stock that previous traded for over $100. He owned shares intermittently over the years and once purchased in the fourth quarter 2007 for $96.61, selling out in the next quarter when it fell to $68.44.

    DryShips has generated positive free cash flow since 2007, earning $498 million 2010 and $269 million in 2009. However, the company’s long-term debt has been accumulating to the point that it now owes $1.98 billion and has just over $1 billion in cash on its balance sheet. “Today DryShips finds itself still burdened with a massive debt load, but the risk of bankruptcy has diminished now that the worst of the credit crisis has passed,” wrote GuruFocus author Sumit Roy in October 2010.

    The Baltic Dry Index, the daily average of the price to ship goods, had fallen to a one-year low in the first quarter, when Soros bought the stock. When the index goes up, dry bulk ship owners benefit. The 52-week range for the index is 1,045 - 4,209, with a close of 1,424 today.

    DryShips has created a new deepwater drilling segment, Ocean Rig UDW Inc., which could benefit from the recently lifted moratorium on drilling in the Gulf of Mexico. Thus far in 2011, the company has been leveraging the expansion of its drilling fleet substantially.

    “In many ways, DryShips has become a leveraged play on the global economy,” Roy says. “If the demand for raw materials continues to grow briskly, the shipping industry, and DryShips in particular, should benefit. In such a scenario, the company will be able to service its debt and generate significant free cash flow for shareholders. The market may then reward the stock with a higher multiple. Were shares to trade at just seven times 2012's expected earnings, investors today would almost double their money.”

    For George Soros' complete International Stocks Portfolio, click here.

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    Nikita Khrushchev: "We will bury you"
    "Your grandchildren will live under communism."
    “You Americans are so gullible.
    No, you won’t accept
    To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 15 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.
    outright, but we’ll keep feeding you small doses of
    To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 15 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.
    until you’ll finally wake up and find you already have communism.

    To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 15 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.
    ."
    We’ll so weaken your
    To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 15 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.
    until you’ll
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